January-February 2010

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Atlanta's "Flood of Record"

A perfect storm of suffering

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Photo: Gwinnett County Stormwater Management

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By Lanse Norris

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After a week of rain, on September 21, 2009, record flooding in the metro Atlanta, GA, area produced numbers that exemplify the stark reality of a disaster. To that point, as a “flood of record” with multiple records broken, the numbers speak for themselves, and are painfully articulate: An unusual weather system of three confluent moisture areas hit north Georgia and dumped more than 20 inches of rain in six days in some areas. The storm prompted federal disaster declarations in 17 counties, where more than 50 gauges measured levels as high as 13 feet over flood stage in one- to 500-year flood events. The flooding damaged or destroyed thousands of homes, leaving more than 16,000 victims homeless and at least 11 people dead.
Metro Atlantans woke to a nightmare Monday, September 21, as a perfect storm of suffering victimized thousands in 17 declared disaster counties in north Georgia. For 11 victims, their storm stories were all too brief as they drowned in vehicles or were swept away by flood waters; in Carroll County, a father’s children were swept from his arms, and a Gwinnett woman’s last words were to 911 operators as she tried in vain to guide emergency workers to her rapidly flooding vehicle.

Executive Order for Disorder
After $10 million was requested under Emergency Watershed Protection and the Emergency Relief Program, the Governor’s request for federal disaster declaration under the Stafford Act for 17 of Georgia’s counties lists as critical, among other things, potable water and shelter in the counties it itemizes needed funds totaling $16,350,000 for such things as coordination, technical advice, individual and household assistance, and, notably, $8 million for debris removal alone. The request also details flood response implementation by the state already undertaken or in process:

  • Providing personnel and equipment for numerous road closures and conducting emergency bridge inspections are listed.
  • Assembling water tanker strike teams for structural fire support, and dispatching potable water tankers to Douglas County Hospital and several county water systems
  • Opening five shelters to house approximately 300 people and placing dozens more in motels
  • Providing 1,000 sandbags to Rockdale and Rabun Counties and facilitating transportation of 100 road closure signs from South Georgia to Metro Atlanta
  • Establishing an Area Command for Cobb, Paulding, and Douglas Counties for severe flooding
  • Dispatching numerous boats with personnel and canine units for active water rescues
  • Identifying of animal shelters and assisting with large-animal evacuations in metro counties
  • Responding to numerous requests for assistance with road closures on state and local roads
  • Providing supplemental law enforcement for traffic control
  • Providing air assets for rescue and damage assessment
  • Providing flood-related public information and opening a Joint Information Center
  • Responding to scores of requests from media, elected officials, and the public as to the state of the emergency

This list of emergency response activities provides a comprehensive picture of the nature and extent of the flood damage and the response by the state of Georgia to the event.

Photo: Lanse Norris
An Austell home crushed and swept almost completely off its foundation
Photo: Lanse Norris
An Austell house that moved 120 feet across the street into a vacant lot; you don’t often see homes with framing directly on grass.
Photo: Lanse Norris
The former foundation of the house pictured above.

Quantifying the Not-So-Routine
I expect that readers are familiar with routine flood control practices and municipal response, so after summarizing the flood for the Atlanta area, I will discuss not-so-routine features of the September flood in three of the hardest-hit counties and quantify the impact on three major structural categories vulnerable in floods: homes, paved surfaces, and dams. Specifically, I will focus on the US Geological Survey’s chronicling of all-time record water levels in creeks and homes in Cobb County; flooding that washed out roads and bridges in neighboring Douglas County; and, reciprocally, flooding that didn’t happen in areas of Gwinnett County because, as in areas of Cobb and other counties, Category 1 dams there prevented floodwaters from inundating homes in drainage areas that would have otherwise flooded into and beyond their 100-year floodplains.

Rainy Nights in Georgia
The dynamic weather responsible initially consisted of a system of persistent low pressure from the lower Mississippi valley that stalled over northeast Georgia from Monday, September 14, through Friday, September 18, dumping as much as 5 to 10 inches of rain in some areas. When the low-pressure system moved toward the northeast on Saturday and Sunday, it sucked Gulf Coast moisture in a training effect that caused some Atlanta areas to experience the whole length of a moisture band instead of just the width, dumping additional rain measuring from 9 to 11 inches in Douglas and Gwinnett Counties. At the same time, an Atlantic high-pressure system pushed more moisture in from the east. On Monday, rain measured from 9 to 12 inches in parts of west metro Cobb and Douglas Counties; with a seven-day total of more than 25 inches of rain for some creek basins in the area, an all too perfect storm had left its historical flood water mark as high as 15 feet on vegetation and structures in parts of the Atlanta metro area.

Average Performance and Quirky Contrast
As a result, stormwater conveyance systems throughout the area were overwhelmed; land use, hydrologic, and geologic trends largely are responsible for the relative disparities in flooding levels. The Chattahoochee River gauges measured a 1% chance exceedance (100-year) flood at the Vinings and Roswell gauges, and the Yellow River stream gauges for Gwinnett, Rockdale, and DeKalb Counties recorded peak flows between the 1% chance (100-year) and 0.5% chance (200-year) flood levels—average performances for waterways for the particular event, but at flood level, nevertheless. By quirky contrast, impervious-runoff-enhanced flows in Atlanta’s Peachtree Creek were at only a 10 year/10% chance magnitude, but “backwater” plugging effect caused by Chattahoochee flows pushed flooding in the basin over the 0.2% chance (500-year) flood mark. Illustrating the exponential magnitude of flooding where a watershed experienced the length of the training moisture band instead of the width, Carroll County’s fire chief noted that Snake Creek there is usually only 2 feet deep, but recorded depths of 20 feet on September 21. Table 1 lists water levels for the September 21 flood for metro area waterways against the record for that waterway; many new records were recorded.

Really a River: Sweet Waters Run Deep
Flooding in west metro Atlanta’s Sweetwater Creek basin broke its own record and broke USGS gages and related equipment critical in measuring rain, stage, and discharge. Although Brian McCallum, assistant director for the USGS Georgia Water Science Center, was reported in local papers as saying that the USGS ranked the flood as a less-than-a-0.2%-chance-of-exceedence event, traditionally called the 500-year-magnitude flood, he explained to me in a phone call that in actuality the flood “well exceeded” the 500-year flood mark, especially for Sweetwater Creek. Graphs from the Sweetwater Creek gauge demonstrating just that, and for the six-day “period of record,” show record flow at 28,000 cubic feet per second and depth 13 feet above major flood stage, cresting on September 22.

One of the press releases include the following: “‘These are historic floods and we know that people’s lives are at risk, so we burn the candle at both ends to try to keep our real-time gages running,’ said McCallum, USGS Supervisory Hydrologist who oversees the stream gage operations and the field crews. ‘Because many of the gages have been destroyed, we are attempting to install as many temporary gages as possible to ensure that real-time data is available to emergency managers.’” http://ga.water.usgs.gov

Regarding the USGS and Georgia’s stream gauge network: “The USGS is the science agency of the Department of the Interior. One of its major mission elements is the quantification and qualification of natural hazards, and in the case of the epic Atlanta floods, hydrologic hazards. The USGS Georgia Water Science Center maintains a network of almost 300 real-time stream gages across Georgia that measure the pulse of the rivers and streams through partnerships with other Federal, state, and local agencies. Each gage records water level, rainfall (where applicable), and stream flow data every 15 minutes and transmits that data hourly via satellites. The data are received directly at our office and posted automatically on the USGS Web site at http://ga.water.usgs.gov. During severe events, each gage transmits every 15 minutes when pre-programmed thresholds are exceeded. The data are also received directly by the National Weather Service and the US Army Corps of Engineers for flood forecasting and warning purposes.

“Stream flow data are critical for flood warning, drought monitoring, wastewater assimilation, water supply, bridge and roadway design, hydropower and reservoir operations, habitat studies, and recreational purposes. With all those uses, it is safe to say that USGS stream flow data affects the lives of every Georgian on a daily basis, whether they know it or not. It is our mission to make sure the data goes ‘from the stream to the screen’ reliably and in a timely fashion.
“Besides the real-time data Webpage, users can also receive the latest stream flow information on their cell phones and via e-mail by using our Streamail tool, or can also subscribe to automated e-mails to get the latest hydrologic conditions for any major river basin in the State. Go to the Web site above for more information.”

With six major creeks feeding it, and its low sloping, slow moving, sinuous stream flow draining a large, flat area, Sweetwater Creek’s watershed was inundated with record flow and widespread residential damage in and adjacent to floodplains, as the creek did not crest until September 22. Discussion all week around Cobb Stormwater Management focused on Sweetwater Creek being “really a river” because, sometimes, its “sweet” waters run deep.

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Whole neighborhoods near the creek in Austell and Powder Springs had 5 to 15 feet of water in homes, and one three-bedroom brick home was picked off its foundation, sheared of all brick, and floated 100 feet across the street into a vacant lot. Because the flood far exceeded 100-year regulatory flood levels, many citizens without flood insurance and/or outside the 100-year floodplain are left without sufficient means to rebuild their homes, much less replace thousands of dollars worth of appliances, automobiles, and heating and air-conditioning units.

First, Second, and Third Responders
In response, Cobb and other counties initiated disaster response that involves, among other things, search and rescue; residential, commercial, and civil flooding and damage inspection of stormwater conveyance system structures like ponds, catch basins, and dams; as well as the reporting and closure of impassable roads due to flooding, fallen trees, and downed power lines. Next Page >

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